
Inventiva receives a speculative strong buy rating, with a probability-weighted fair value of ~$15 per share versus ~$3.20 currently. Following strong Phase 2b NATIVE results, lanifibranor's pivotal Phase 3 NATiV3 readout is imminent, creating a major potential catalyst for the stock. The model yields a 40% probability of a $29 fair value per share, versus a 32% probability of near-total loss, with intermediate valuations reflecting varying degrees of clinical differentiation.










