Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.71B |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $5.00B |
| EBITDA | $2.26B |
| Operating Margin | 14.10% |
| Return on Equity | 48.50% |
| Return on Assets | 12.50% |
| Revenue/Share (TTM) | $9.86 |
| Book Value | $1.94 |
| Price-to-Book | 18.24 |
| Price-to-Sales (TTM) | 3.43 |
| EV/Revenue | 3.892 |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.60 |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth (YoY) | -6.20% |
| Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) | 9.60% |
| Shares Outstanding | $1.26B |
| Float | $1.25B |
| % Insiders | 0.72% |
| % Institutions | 92.67% |
Volatility is currently expanding
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG delivered solid revenue growth in the third quarter of 2026, but lower restaurant-level margins and weaker sales trends toward the end of the quarter raised concerns about profitability. New restaurant openings and positive comparable sales supported growth, while higher operating expenses and softer sales volumes weighed on margins.
Chipotle Mexican Grill continues to dominate the fast-casual dining space through high digital engagement and international expansion. e.l.f. Beauty is capturing significant market share in the cosmetics industry with its focus on accessible products.
CMG's Q3 revenue growth and positive traffic trends signal progress, but shrinking margins, rising costs and premium valuation warrant caution.
Chipotle (CMG) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
Chipotle delivered its third consecutive quarter of comparable-store sales growth. However, the company's earnings power has been eroded by inflationary pressures.
Chipotle's growth strategy centers on menu innovation, aggressive international expansion, and evolving brand messaging, including a robust rewards program with 24M+ members. The company plans to open 350–400 stores annually (8–9% growth), pairing new locations with low single-digit same-store sales growth for sustained expansion. Based on my calculations, I see CMG trading at a roughly 30% discount from my base case price target with a very friendly 4.5x risk-to-reward.
Chipotle receives a downgrade from hold to a soft sell due to declining profitability and sluggish comp sales growth. CMG's Q3 saw operating margin drop from 15.7% to 13.7% and store-level margin fall from 25.2% to 23.3%. High valuation persists, with a TTM GAAP PE ratio of 30 and Price/Sales of 3.23, despite margin pressure and only moderate growth.
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The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price.
Chipotle Mexican Grill has vastly underperformed the average growth stock. Management's plan appears to be working.
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