HMY

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Harmony Gold Mining NYSE: HMY reported record financial results for fiscal 2026, supported by gold production that met guidance for an 11th consecutive year, the contribution from its acquired CSA copper mine and higher operating free cash flow.

The South African miner's headline earnings per share rose 87%.

Harmony Gold continues to maintain value appeal with FY26 expected EPS guidance of ~$2.65, implying an ~8.8x P/E and ~11% earnings yield at ~$23.50. HMY's copper expansion is a structural earnings catalyst, targeting ~40% of future production, diversifying away from gold dependency while capitalizing on copper demand tailwinds. HMY's upside is closely linked to ongoing commodity tailwinds; continued reinvestment of free cash flow increases both the upside if the commodity cycle continues and drawdowns if the cycle reverses.

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is transitioning from a pure gold miner to a diversified gold-copper producer, enhancing long-term value. HMY's copper segment is ramping up, with Q3 FY2026 copper profit at $42M and management targeting a doubling of copper production in Q4 FY2026. The Eva copper project is fully permitted, on schedule for 2028 production, and positions HMY as a realized dual-basket miner upon completion.

H1 2026 turned out to be a bad one for gold mining stocks, despite a great start, because of the oil crisis that erupted in 2026. H2 2026 could be better than H1 2026 with no repeat of the big losses, but big gains will be difficult with the crisis still not fully resolved. Gold mining stocks are likely to go flattish in H2 2026, but their ability to go higher should get better longer term for multiple reasons.

Harmony Gold (HMY) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Recent dip in gold prices and cost pressures weigh on the Zacks Mining - Gold industry. We suggest adding stocks like FNV, HMY, NG, DRD and IDR, which are poised for growth.

Harmony Gold is transitioning to a gold-copper hybrid model, with Eva Copper set to materially rebalance its revenue mix by 2028. HMY trades at a significant discount to peers, despite net cash, a 4.06% forward dividend yield, and robust macro tailwinds for both gold and copper. Recent operational improvements, regulatory milestones, and a conservative hedge book signal management's confidence in structurally higher metal prices and future upside.