SAIA: Trucking Along at 50x Earnings (Someone's Got to Do It)

Selling puts on a trucking company trading at 50x earnings? In this market, that's practically value investing. SAIA sits 16% above its 50-day moving average and 36% above its 200-day, sporting a beta

Cover Image for SAIA: Trucking Along at 50x Earnings (Someone's Got to Do It)

Selling puts on a trucking company trading at 50x earnings? In this market, that's practically value investing. SAIA sits 16% above its 50-day moving average and 36% above its 200-day, sporting a beta of 2.12 that makes it dance to every market rhythm. Yet here we are, collecting $12.34 in premium for agreeing to buy shares at $420 — a full 11% below current levels.

The less-than-truckload carrier has been expanding its network faster than Amazon opens warehouses, with new facilities popping up in Washington and Indiana. This growth story comes with a price: that eye-watering P/E ratio reflects investors betting SAIA can grow into its valuation. The 7.8% profit margin suggests decent operational efficiency, though nothing that screams "moat" in the commodity-like trucking business.

With 48 days to expiration and a -0.224 delta, we're positioned comfortably out of the money. The 50.7% implied volatility gives us meaningful premium to work with — roughly 2.9% of the strike price for seven weeks of exposure. Analysts see fair value around $445, which provides some fundamental backstop if the market decides trucking multiples need a reality check.

The trade banks on SAIA staying above $407.66 (strike minus premium) by July. Given the stock's momentum and the company's expansion trajectory, that seems reasonable. Watch for any shifts in freight demand or broader industrial sentiment that could pressure the entire sector.

Today's Atlas Trades

BURL — Short Put

  • Strike: $305.0
  • Expiration: 2026-06-26
  • Premium: $8.64
  • Stock Price: $323.83
  • IV: 49.0%
  • Delta: -0.296
  • DTE: 27

AEM — Short Put

  • Strike: $175.0
  • Expiration: 2026-06-26
  • Premium: $5.27
  • Stock Price: $183.15
  • IV: 46.1%
  • Delta: -0.327
  • DTE: 27

VLO — Short Put

  • Strike: $235.0
  • Expiration: 2026-06-26
  • Premium: $7.12
  • Stock Price: $244.82
  • IV: 44.7%
  • Delta: -0.337
  • DTE: 27

VKTX — Short Put

  • Strike: $31.0
  • Expiration: 2026-07-02
  • Premium: $0.92
  • Stock Price: $32.74
  • IV: 44.1%
  • Delta: -0.307
  • DTE: 33

KNX — Short Put

  • Strike: $67.5
  • Expiration: 2026-07-17
  • Premium: $1.98
  • Stock Price: $75.63
  • IV: 49.9%
  • Delta: -0.228
  • DTE: 48

UPB — Short Put

  • Strike: $7.5
  • Expiration: 2026-07-17
  • Premium: $0.23
  • Stock Price: $8.36
  • IV: 50.0%
  • Delta: -0.237
  • DTE: 48

VEON — Short Put

  • Strike: $50.0
  • Expiration: 2026-07-17
  • Premium: $1.51
  • Stock Price: $56.14
  • IV: 51.0%
  • Delta: -0.228
  • DTE: 48

LBRX — Short Put

  • Strike: $25.0
  • Expiration: 2026-07-17
  • Premium: $0.73
  • Stock Price: $27.97
  • IV: 49.5%
  • Delta: -0.229
  • DTE: 48

SAIA — Short Put

  • Strike: $420.0
  • Expiration: 2026-07-17
  • Premium: $12.34
  • Stock Price: $472.37
  • IV: 50.7%
  • Delta: -0.224
  • DTE: 48

VVX — Short Put

  • Strike: $80.0
  • Expiration: 2026-06-18
  • Premium: $2.36
  • Stock Price: $83.13
  • IV: 51.0%
  • Delta: -0.343
  • DTE: 19

RYTM — Short Put

  • Strike: $85.0
  • Expiration: 2026-06-18
  • Premium: $2.49
  • Stock Price: $88.32
  • IV: 50.6%
  • Delta: -0.342
  • DTE: 19