Barings BDC, Inc. (BBDC)

Barings BDC: Rising Concerns, But Dividend Should Remain Safe Near-Term (Downgrade)

Barings BDC's dividend appears safe for the near-term, but declining financials and economic uncertainty warrant caution for income investors. Recent earnings showed net investment income fell below dividend coverage, with credit quality and leverage metrics also weakening. Despite attractive discount to NAV and defensive portfolio moves, I recommend waiting for financial and NAV stability before buying.

2 BDCs To Dump Before Rates Fall

Recent Fed actions and economic data suggest a material risk of further interest rate cuts in the near to medium term. Lower rates threaten BDC dividend sustainability, even for solid names like ARCC and BXSL, as shown by recent NII declines. In this article, I discuss two high-quality BDCs (not ARCC and BXSL), which investors should consider divesting if they also assume an interest rate cut scenario as a base case.

Barings BDC: Dividend Cut Risk Is High, I'm Avoiding This One

Barings BDC is a well-established vehicle with one of the longest track records in the sector. The portfolio quality is solid, and certainly better than what could be implied from the 20% discount to NAV. Yet, the base dividend seems unsustainable or at least with no material margin of safety.

Barings BDC Inc. (BBDC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Start Time: 09:00 January 1, 0000 9:22 AM ET Barings BDC Inc. (NYSE:BBDC ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 09, 2025, 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Eric Lloyd - Chairman and CEO Matt Freund - President Elizabeth Murray - CFO and COO Bryan High - Head of Global Private Finance Joe Mazzoli - Head, IR Conference Call Participants Operator At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Barings BDC Inc. Conference Call for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2025. All participants are in a listen-only mode.

Barings BDS Is Not A Great Buy Despite The Sell-Off

Barings BDS experienced a significant sell-off due to Trump's tariffs, impacting the entire BDC sector and leading to valuation drops. I recommend focusing on top-tier BDCs like Blackstone Secured Lending Fund and Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund due to their defensive portfolios. BBDC's portfolio shows declining credit quality and higher non-accrual risks, making it less attractive compared to peers with higher first-lien debt exposure.

Barings BDC: Adding To This 12.9%-Yielding BDC On The Dip

We take a look at the Q4 numbers from the Barings BDC. Barings BDC trades at a 15% discount to book, offers a 12.9% total dividend yield, and has a stable NAV over the last few years. Net investment income fell slightly over the quarter; base dividend coverage remains strong at 108%.

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Barings BDC (BBDC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Barings BDC Inc. (NYSE:BBDC ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 21, 2024 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Eric Lloyd - Chairman, Chief Executive Officer Matthew Freund - President Elizabeth Murray - Chief Financial Officer Bryan High - Head of Global Private Finance Joe Mazzoli - Head of Investor Relations Conference Call Participants Finian O'Shea - Wells Fargo Robert Dodd - Raymond James Casey Alexander - Compass Point Operator Good day everyone. At this time, I'd like to welcome you to the Barings BDC Inc. conference call for the quarter ended and year ended December 31, 2024.

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